Variance Reduction

RL training for LLMs frequently suffers from training collapse due to exploding gradient variance in long-horizon tasks. We derive the Optimal Token Baseline (OTB) from first principles, proving that updates should be weighted inversely to their accumulated uncertainty (Realized Energy). Our computationally free Logit-Gradient Proxy eliminates training collapse, matches N=32 performance with just N=4, and reduces token consumption by 62-66%.